Month: September 2015

Can stategic voting work in our West Vancouver-Sea to Sky- Sunshine Coast riding?

The vast majority of Canadians want political change and a new federal government to emerge from the October 19th general election. Polls indicate 40% of Canadian voters are prepared set aside political loyalties for the good of the country and cast their ballots strategically to VOTE HARPER OUT. Harper’s waning ‘majority’ government was based on 39% of total ballots cast in 2011, and because of low voter turnout, on the support of just 24% of registered voters. Minority Government Probable CBC’s Poll Tracker, as of September 17th indicates a 3-way race to the finish as follows: [wpdatatable id=2] Note: A majority government requires a minimum of 170 seats It is probable that we will have a minority government after October 19th, but which party will be in the lead on E-Day will only emerge following the counting of the ballots. It is understandable that the Liberals, NDP and Greens seek to distinguish themselves from each other and from Harper’s Conservative in the minds of Canadian voters. It is also important to maintain civility and respect between parties, candidates and supporters. Under a minority government, Canadians will rightly expect all parties to cooperate with each other for the good of the nation. We’re going to have to learn to get along! Why Strategic Voting? Under our out-dated first-past-the-post electoral system, vote splitting between progressive candidates can allow an unpopular right-wing...

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Last-minute changes to Unfair Elections Act

The Conservatives have recanted slightly on the Unfair Elections Act, no doubt to brag about how they are making it easier to vote, knowing full we’ll that Elections Canada has limited scope to launch its voting campaigns so late in the game. See Freed from constraints, Elections Canada set to launch its own campaigns in the Ottawa Citizen. After almost having its chief electoral officer “muzzled,” Elections Canada is launching a new advertising campaign this week, and will target youth, seniors and aboriginals, in a pilot project to help Canadians cast ballots Oct....

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Fair Vote Canada’s ‘Declaration of Voter’s Rights’

If you haven’t already read and signed Fair Vote Canada‘s Declaration of Voter’s Rights, promoting Proportional Representation for the following federal election, which will make Strategic Voting unnecessary, then please do. And please share this with your family, friends and respective networks. While we anticipate that Harper will go down on October 19th, whichever party or parties form government, we will need to hold their feet to the fire to make the changes to our electoral system that Canadians want and need. If large numbers of Canadians express their support for Proportional Representation that will be an important step in achieving it. See also their resource page What is proportional representation? for a good discussion of examples possible solutions....

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Strategic voting

EKOS deals with the first and second choices in this graph: SEE RIGHT—–>> EKOS addresses the critical issue of vote splitting and strategic voting in the following paragraphs, emphasis added: The most important asset for the government remains the split of the center-left. Without strategic voting or some form of tacit or explicit co-operation between the progressive parties, they risk seeing Harper retain power with an even smaller plurality than the Conservatives took in 2011. It also appears that both the Green Party and the Bloc are being caught in this dynamic; many progressive voters who like them and their leaders seem to feel the stakes are too high to support them this time. So there’s a strong risk of the New Democrats and Liberals splitting the progressive vote and allowing the Conservatives to eke out a narrow victory. For our West Vancouver – Sunshine Coast – Sea-to-Sky riding, with the Greens steadily falling nationally, with no disrespect for Elizabeth May or Ken Melamed, barring a stellar performance by Elizabeth in the upcoming debate it would appear that Canadians are sufficiently focused on dumping Harper & Co., including embracing a coalition government if that is what it takes, that the Green vote will continue to dwindle as we move closer to EDay. The remaining question becomes whether Mulcair’s performance and approval will be sufficient to carry the NDP into...

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